Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.114824 0.136036 0.159764 0.188229 0.221405 0.258804 0.304116
2025-01-26 0.084130 0.112074 0.146831 0.193044 0.252660 0.326740 0.425513
2025-02-02 0.065417 0.095715 0.136711 0.195801 0.278274 0.388695 0.547015
2025-02-09 0.052535 0.083215 0.127776 0.196473 0.298790 0.444396 0.665830
2025-02-16 0.043902 0.074549 0.121894 0.199255 0.321073 0.503666 0.795524
2025-02-23 0.038420 0.069412 0.119981 0.206954 0.350744 0.576206 0.952424
2025-03-02 0.031637 0.060684 0.110639 0.200864 0.357090 0.612694 1.056778
2025-03-09 0.027250 0.055224 0.105705 0.201029 0.373129 0.665674 1.192631
2025-03-16 0.023256 0.049692 0.099643 0.198054 0.382899 0.708633 1.315596
2025-03-23 0.020905 0.046885 0.098081 0.202899 0.406938 0.778315 1.491627
2025-03-30 0.018199 0.042834 0.093442 0.201067 0.418053 0.825690 1.632119
2025-04-06 0.015650 0.038626 0.087799 0.196322 0.422714 0.861250 1.753887
2025-04-13 0.013329 0.034540 0.081869 0.190334 0.424549 0.892445 1.872467
2025-04-20 0.012119 0.032833 0.080838 0.194670 0.448230 0.968979 2.087938
2025-04-27 0.010944 0.030978 0.079170 0.197322 0.468598 1.040891 2.301403
2025-05-04 0.009797 0.028962 0.076792 0.197969 0.484563 1.105221 2.505549
2025-05-11 0.008912 0.027465 0.075421 0.200763 0.505636 1.182380 2.744160
2025-05-18 0.008372 0.026815 0.076059 0.208515 0.539094 1.289658 3.057904
2025-05-25 0.007260 0.024288 0.071434 0.202382 0.538694 1.321644 3.208766
2025-06-01 0.006551 0.022813 0.069372 0.202549 0.553649 1.389880 3.447609
2025-06-08 0.005810 0.021076 0.066297 0.199552 0.560252 1.439262 3.647655
2025-06-15 0.005420 0.020395 0.066112 0.204431 0.587667 1.540635 3.978926
2025-06-22 0.004861 0.019019 0.063664 0.202586 0.597128 1.599382 4.213639